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      財經熱點 今日股市 金融信息 產經信息
      新粵網 > 財經 > 財經熱點 > 正文

      上半年多城樓市走出底部 下半年“穩”將成為常態

      來源:梅州日報 2019-07-05 10:40   http://www.e88p.com/

      近年來,芹洋半島發展迅速,眾多高樓拔地而起(吳騰江攝)

      本報訊近日,貝殼研究院發布《2019中國房地產半年報》(以下簡稱《報告》),以真實成交數據復盤2019年上半年市場情況,并對下半年走勢及政策選擇進行展望。

      《報告》指出,上半年全國重點城市(北京、上海、深圳、大連、天津、濟南、青島、南京、武漢、西安、長沙、成都、重慶、杭州)二手房市場大幅調整后,需求開始釋放,同比去年微增3%,但由于去年下半年成交低靡環比則增加52.3%,從底部走出,但回暖并不穩定,市場整體表現出“前高后低,分化加劇”的特點。上半年后期成交量雖然下落,但新增客源及帶看量并未同步減少,這意味著下半年購房需求仍在,有一定的上行動力。

      展望下半年,《報告》認為重點城市市場潛在需求普遍存在,這將是支撐下半年市場的上行動力。貝殼交易數據顯示,二季度重點城市新增客源及帶看客戶量并未出現明顯下滑,且新增客房比近期呈現持續上升趨勢。但這股力量尚不能支撐房價大幅向上。這是因為目前重點城市都是改善型需求主導的市場,認房認貸的政策下換房需求的杠桿被極大壓縮,不存在大幅向上動力,“穩”是下半年的大主題也是市場面的常態。貝殼研究院首席市場分析師許小樂分析預測,宏觀經濟壓力下,政策不能過“緊”,在房地產風險防控的大方向下,政策也不會“松”, “穩”+“一城一策”仍是政策主基調。

      (來源:重慶晨報)

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